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Dr. Ed Yardeni’s Economic Network - Economy

August 7, 2008 – 1:42 pm

ECONOMICS: Economic forecasters usually have three choices: Up, Down, or Sideways. In forecasting the outlook for real GDP growth over the rest of the year and in 2009, there seems to be only two camps: Those who expect the economy to continue to muddle along at a slow pace somewhere between zero and 2% and those who expect negative growth. In other words, the consensus outlook is for either a growth recession or an outright downturn in economic activity. Debbie and I are in the middle. We concluded on March 3 that the economy was probably falling into a short and shallow recession. In fact, so far, it has been a blend of a severe recession in the housing and auto industries, a mild recession in the labor markets, a growth recession in consumer spending, and a boom in both exports and nonresidential construction. Read More »

By admin | Posted in Economy | Comments (0)

Quote from Dr. Ed Yardeni’s Economics Network

July 31, 2008 – 11:03 am

The price of oil jumped $4.58 a barrel yesterday. The WSJ reports, “Futures rebounded Wednesday as an unexpected, 3.5 million-barrel drawdown in gasoline stocks for the week ended July 25 highlighted the resilience of U.S. demand.” Sorry, I don’t buy this story. Gasoline demand is falling in the US and the global economy is getting weaker. The supply of oil is plentiful right now. I believe that the swings in the price of oil in coming days and weeks will be driven by speculators in the Middle East who might be in a much better position to assess the odds of a confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz. I doubt the US would blockade Iran’s exports of crude oil. But the Iranians might retaliate, for either sanction on their gasoline imports or an actual blockade, by cutting off their exports of oil anyway, though I doubt it. I also doubt that they would take on a US naval blockade. Read More »

By admin | Posted in Oil | Comments (0)

Finding the Right Estate Planning Attorney

July 22, 2008 – 3:38 pm

The below link is to a good post on how to find an estate planning attorney. If you have additional questions, please let us know.

http://www.schlenderlaw.com/blog/53/five-steps-to-finding-the-perfect-estate-planning-attorney/

By admin | Posted in Estate Planning | Comments (0)

 

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